As that guy from the A-Team used to say, I love it when a plan comes together. Remember when I told you Djokovic would toss Federer from the Aussie Open like a bouncer at a dive bar? Remember when I told you to take the +200 odds on the young buck? Man, it feels good to be right once in a while. Excuse me while I gloat.
Djoko didn't just win it; he dispensed with the world No. 1 in straight sets. Now it's Djokovic and Tsonga in the final with Nole going for a very affordable -300 and Tsonga at +240. I'll get you my pick on that one later in the day, but I'm sure you know where I'm leaning.
Right now we have to focus on the women's final. And to be honest, this matchup makes it a little difficult to focus. Let me just say thank you to the WTA for presenting us with the best pairing of females since Heather Graham and Bridget Moynahan hooked up in the otherwise forgettable movie, Gray Matters. But the real question bettors have to ask themselves in this match is not who's got the better game, or which player is in superior condition. The question is simply: Betty or Veronica?
Ana Ivanovic (+350) to beat Maria Sharapova ... In the epic struggle of blonde vs. brunette, I have to go with tall, dark and Serbian (I'm a Veronica kinda guy). This pick, however, comes with a disclaimer. Bettor be warned: these odds are totally out of whack. Are you telling me that in the men's draw, the three-seed is only -300 against some unseeded dude, but in the women's side the world No. 3 is more than a 1-3 underdog against a lower-ranked opponent? Come on. This is a clear-cut case of blatant brunette-ism. I know Ana looked bad in her semi, but she can play better and, if nothing else, at least it showed some heart. Sharapova has cruised through the tournament, it's true. But it looked like nerves got to her in her semi against an injured Jankovic and that makes me nervous, especially at this price. In a pressure-packed environment like this, I wouldn't be surprised to see Maria crack while her father stews in the stands. Under more reasonable pricing circumstances, I'd probably go with Maria here, but just because oddsmakers are being so ludicrous with these odds, I'm going to have to take the value and the brunette.
4 comments:
Great pick with Novak! Glad u won some cash though I was for Federer. Agree gotta take a shot with Anna tonight
The price is right. Only a small bet for me though...
20620350-1 1/25/2008 8:20 PM Future/Prop 250.00 1000.00
Tennis - ATP Australian Open Women's Final - Friday january 25th - Ana Ivanovic +400
Went big on Ana! Had a good day playing poker so risking $250
Nice hits on the Novak play. I was off on both him and Tsonga. Oh well. I did the same tonight and put a small play on Ivankovic for the value. I think if she coulda broken Sharapova to win that 1st set when she had her down 0-30 she may have had a chance. That momentum would've done wonders for her confidence, let alone she'd have been up a set. Oh well, was nice to see a couple hotties on the court anyway. As for tomorrow, it's gotta be Novak doesn't it? How does Tsonga keep this up?
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